As the Fed Preps to Cut Rates, Consider Buying the T-Note Here
December U.S. Treasury note futures (ZNZ25) present a buying opportunity on more price strength.
See on the daily bar chart for December T-Note futures that prices are trending higher and that a bullish pennant pattern has formed. Bulls have the near-term technical advantage.
Fundamentally, the downbeat U.S. jobs report for July has the Federal Reserve on track to cut U.S. interest rates in September. That’s bullish for U.S. Treasuries. Also, history shows the months of September and October can be rocky for the U.S. stock market, which if such occurs this year, would be bullish for U.S. Treasuries due to flight-to-quality buying.
A move in December T-Note futures above chart resistance at 112.08.0 would give the bulls more power and it would also become a buying opportunity. The upside price objective would be 114.00.0 or above. Technical support, for which to place a protective sell stop just below, is located at 111.16.0.
IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any trades and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.
Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%):
Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.
On the date of publication, Jim Wyckoff did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.